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Appreciation Estimator by Zone
3-15 year projection across 11 investment zones in southeastern Mexico, Pacific and Valley of Mexico. Conservative, base and optimistic scenarios with real data.
2026 updated data
$65,000
Price per m²
$5,200,000
Average Ticket
14.0%
5-Year CAGR
62%
Airbnb Occupancy
Your Investment
Horizon
Projection over 5 years
Optimistic Base Conservative
5.0% annual
$6,636,664
Conservative
+$1,436,664
8.0% annual
$7,640,506
Base
+$2,440,506
12.0% annual
$9,164,177
Optimistic
+$3,964,177
Zone Strengths
- ✓Cerca de playa y zona arqueológica
- ✓Demanda internacional alta
- ✓Regulación de uso de suelo consolidada
Risks to Consider
- !Sobreoferta en algunos subsectores
- !Restricciones ambientales estrictas
Restricted zone for foreigners
Because it's located within 50 km of the coast or 100 km of the border, foreign buyers must purchase through a bank trust (fideicomiso). Cost ~$600-1,000 USD per year + initial legal setup.
Methodology: Projections based on 5-year historical CAGR, adjusted for demand, supply and infrastructure factors. Ranges represent conservative/base/optimistic scenarios. Not a guarantee of performance.
How to read this projection?
- CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate)
- Compound annual growth rate. It's the geometric average rate assuming the property grows at that pace consistently each year. It doesn't mean it will grow exactly that percentage — it's the expected cycle average.
- Scenarios
- Conservative: assumes slowdown, more supply, more competition. Useful for decisions that must withstand stress. Base: most likely projection given historical behavior. Optimistic: assumes demand continuity and supply scarcity.
- Factors not included
- Exchange rate fluctuations (MXN/USD), tax reforms, macro events, short-term rental regulatory changes, public infrastructure deterioration/improvement. That's why we always recommend a custom analysis before investing.
Need more granular data?
We do sub-zone analysis (specific street, specific development) with recent comparable data from portals and AirDNA. Includes projection tailored to your risk profile.
Book a custom analysis